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Israel

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How the War with Iran is Redrawing the Rules of Maritime Power

June 29, 2026 No Comments

Following the intensification of the Israeli-US military campaign against Iran’s nuclear program in spring 2025, the region stretching from the Gulf to the Mediterranean has

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Decapitation Strikes and the Problem of Strategic Prediction

June 10, 2026 No Comments

Months after the U.S. agreed to a cease fire with Iran, America has struggled to achieve its core objectives.  Iranian military capabilities were severely degraded

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China and the War In Iran, High Risk for Marginal Opportunities

April 6, 2026 No Comments

China has worked to build a diplomatic position in the Middle East, cultivating an image as a non-interventionist power that can be everyone’s friend and

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The Iran War and Ankara’s Three Strategic Scenarios

March 7, 2026 No Comments

The Iran war puts Turkey in a peculiar position, posing several challenges. Since the beginning of the US and Israel’s military confrontation with Iran, Turkey

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Regime Change is Only Legitimate If Iranians Take The Lead

March 4, 2026 No Comments

President Trump’s decision to undertake military operations against Iran was a bold, albeit risky move that has the potential to reshape the Middle East.  As

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Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland: Strategic Logic and Regional Implications

January 13, 2026 No Comments

Rather than an isolated diplomatic gesture, Israel’s decision to formally recognise the Republic of Somaliland constitutes a deliberate strategic intervention in the Horn of Africa.

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Gulf Arab States Need Israel and Iran to De-escalate

June 29, 2025 No Comments

President Donald J. Trump successfully cajoling Israel and Iran into a precarious ceasefire this month was welcome news in the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)

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Senior Fellow Suleyman Ozeren Interviewed at Forbes

May 12, 2025 No Comments

Our Senior Fellow, Suleyman Ozeren, was interviewed by Paul Iddon at Forbes on the Israeli-Turkish mock dogfights over Syria. You can read the whole interview

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The Impact of Israeli-Iranian Tensions on Iraqi Policy

December 22, 2024 No Comments

On April 13 and October 1, 2024, the hostility between Iran and Israel turned into open confrontation after several decades of shadow war, marked by

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Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Advances: The Latest Round of Escalation in the Syrian Conflict

December 3, 2024 No Comments

While the Israeli-Hamas conflict and, more recently, the Israeli-Hezbollah conflict, have dominated discussions on the Middle East for much of the past year, the focus

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