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Post-Quantum Cryptography: An Urgent Need for AI Infrastructure
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Will Cuba be the Next After Maduro?
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Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland: Strategic Logic and Regional Implications
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Imdat Oner: The Good, the Bad, or the Ugly – What is Next for Venezuela?
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Why China May Be Emboldened by America’s 2025 National Security Strategy
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Promoting Evidence-based Policy and Good Governance

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Cyber Security & Info Technologies

Jan 17 , 2026

Policy Brief

Post-Quantum Cryptography: An Urgent Need for AI Infrastructure

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Post-quantum cryptography is typically framed as a problem in quantum computing. It is something to address once fault-tolerant machines arrive. So, this framing is still incomplete. Every scaled AI system today depends on encrypted data pipelines, protected model weights, and secure inference infrastructure. The cryptographic standards protecting that infrastructure are

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Defense & Security, Americas

Jan 15 , 2026

Op-Ed

Will Cuba be the Next After Maduro?

President Donald Trump has started to frame U.S. policy in Latin America through a tougher reading of the Monroe Doctrine. Some observers call this the “Donroe Doctrine,” reflecting his view that the Western Hemisphere is a region where Washington should assert control and limit the influence of hostile governments. In

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Defense & Security, Africa

Jan 13 , 2026

Policy Brief

Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland: Strategic Logic and Regional Implications

Rather than an isolated diplomatic gesture, Israel’s decision to formally recognise the Republic of Somaliland constitutes a deliberate strategic intervention in the Horn of Africa. By extending recognition to a de facto sovereign entity that is not officially recognised, Israel has challenged long-standing international norms governing statehood, territorial integrity, and

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Defense & Security, Americas

Jan 8 , 2026

Podcast

Imdat Oner: The Good, the Bad, or the Ugly – What is Next for Venezuela?

In this Orion Talks episode, hosted by Suat Cubukcu, Dr. Imdat Oner joins the conversation to unpack Venezuela’s sudden political turning point following the capture of Nicolás Maduro and his transfer to the United States. Dr. Oner examines the immediate fallout in Caracas, the rise of interim president Delcy Rodríguez,

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Defense & Security, Indo – Pacific, South Asia

Jan 7 , 2026

Policy Brief

Why China May Be Emboldened by America’s 2025 National Security Strategy

China is rapidly increasing its economic and military strength and asserting itself more aggressively on the world stage. Until President Xi Jinping assumed power in 2012, China was careful to downplay its ambition and growing international power. Now, the country is a near-peer competitor of the United States military in

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Crime & Justice, Transnational Crime, Terrorism & Extremism, Americas

Dec 22 , 2025

Op-Ed

Counternarcotics as Counterterrorism: Colombia’s Clan del Golfo

The Trump administration’s recent designation of the Clan del Golfo Colombian armed group as a foreign terrorist organization marks a significant escalation in the Trump administration’s counter-narcotics policy in Latin America. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced on December 16th that the Colombian group would join a growing list of

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Terrorism & Extremism, Indo – Pacific

Dec 18 , 2025

Op-Ed

The Price of Complacency: Why Australia Must Rethink Prevention After Bondi Beach

On Sunday, December 14, 2025, at approximately 6:45 pm AEDT near Archer Park of Bondi Beach, Australia, two gunmen opened fire on a crowd of approximately one thousand people. Brutal and methodical, the event was a “targeted attack on Jewish Australians… (inspired by) Islamic State ideology” as stated by Prime

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Defense & Security, Americas

Dec 12 , 2025

Policy Brief

The Trump Corollary: Venezuela as the First Test of a Neo-Monroe Doctrine

Foreign policy analysts had long suspected that President Trump was reviving a Monroe Doctrine–style policy for Latin America. With the release of the 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), that idea now has a formal name: the “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine. This newly declared doctrine revives a two-century-old concept

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Latest Research

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Indo – Pacific, Middle East

Jul 10 , 2025

Policy Brief

IMEC and the Battle for Connectivity: Why Trieste Matters

The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) is a visionary infrastructure and cooperation initiative that was officially launched at the 2023 G20 Summit in New Delhi. The IMEC’s primary aim is to enhance connectivity and promote robust economic collaboration between India and Eurasia. The corridor comprises land rail links and shipping

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Middle East

Jun 29 , 2025

Policy Brief

Gulf Arab States Need Israel and Iran to De-escalate

President Donald J. Trump successfully cajoling Israel and Iran into a precarious ceasefire this month was welcome news in the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states. Wanting stability to prevail in the region, the Gulf Arab monarchies have stakes in this truce holding up so that the Israel-Iran war does

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Democracy & Human Rights, Middle East

Jun 27 , 2025

Research

Women and War in Syria: Gendering of the Syrian Civil War

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A comprehensive overview of the Syrian Civil War extends from its origins during the Arab Spring uprisings in 2011 through to the fall of the Assad regime in 2024 and continues into the country’s ongoing transitional period. It examines the rise of extremist groups and assesses the role of foreign

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Defense & Security

Jun 5 , 2025

Policy Brief

Iran-Russia Military Technology Collaboration

Executive Summary At the beginning of the Cold War in the 1950’s the United States and the Soviet Union competed with arms and technology exports in their respective regions of influence. After the Soviet Union collapsed, Russia sold much of its Cold War-era military and technology arsenal to Soviet satellites,

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Africa

May 26 , 2025

Policy Brief

Las Anood and the Crisis of Somali State-Building: Clan Politics, Federal Tensions, and External Stakes

Somali Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre’s recent visit to Las Anood was heralded as a historic event, eliciting a mix of positive reactions from supporters of national unity and strong negative reactions from Somaliland. However, rather than consolidating the Somali state-building process and promoting greater dialogue with the newly elected

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Africa

May 20 , 2025

Policy Brief

Armed Groups, Illicit Extraction, and Human Exploitation in the DRC’s Cocoa Supply Chain

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is exceptionally rich in natural resources. It has 200 million acres of cultivable land and the world’s second-largest rainforest. It is home to an immensely diverse flora and fauna, and – as is notoriously known – is also rich in mineral resources. However, the

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